Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
4 - 0
Orlando City

Arango (23'), Glad (41'), Savarino (78'), Julio (88')
Luna (53'), Ojeda (62'), Vera (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cartagena (38'), Santos (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Wednesday, July 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-2 Orlando City

Despite failing to win their last two on the road, Orlando are expected to claim a slender win over Salt Lake, whose egregious home form should result in a fifth defeat in front of their supporters.

How to watch

You can watch Real Salt Lake vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Orlando City
54.67% ( 0.07)	24.22% ( 0.01)	21.1% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.62% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

-0.14)

51.35% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.82% (

-0.12)

73.17% (

0.12)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.31% (

-0.03)

18.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.97% (

-0.04)

50.03% (

0.04)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.02% (

-0.17)

38.98% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.29% (

-0.16)

75.7% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 54.66%

Orlando City 21.1%

Draw 24.22%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.66%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.1%