We said: DC United 2-1 Real Salt Lake
DC United have been very good on their home soil over the last month, and with Benteke up front, they have a much-needed focal point to their attack, which has been working well for them.
This fixture ended 0-0 last season, but DC have come a long way since then, and while this will likely be another close encounter, we fancy the hosts to come out on top.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.