Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
