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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Oct 8, 2022 at 7am UK
 

Urawa
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Junker (40'), Koizumi (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miyashiro (62')
Diego (15'), Shimakawa (69')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 4-1 Urawa
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
59.2% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 21.94% (0.012 0.01) 18.86% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.19% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)44.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)67.17% (0.012 0.01)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)14.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)43.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.025999999999996 0.03)37.59% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (0.026 0.03)74.37% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 59.2%
    Sagan Tosu 18.86%
    Draw 21.94%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.62%
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.2%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 18.86%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 6am
Sagan Tosu
1-0
Urawa
Kakita (71')
Iino (88')
Aug 14, 2021 11am
Urawa
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Akimoto (36'), Esaka (84' pen.)
Yamashita (45+1')
Nakano (34'), Koizumi (62')
Mar 6, 2021 6am
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Urawa
Yamashita (62', 81')
Sento (12'), Matsuoka (23')
Oct 10, 2020 10am
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Urawa

Lopez (40'), Takahashi (72')
Yuruki (90+3')
Sekine (42')
Sep 9, 2020 11.30am
Urawa
2-2
Sagan Tosu
Koroki (48'), Muto (81')
Deng (5')
Cho (12'), Hayashi (60')
Matsuoka (3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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