J1 League | Gameweek 29

Sep 10, 2022 at 11am UK

Urawa
4 - 1
Reysol

Matsuo (7'), Schalk (24'), Chinen (57'), Scholz (85' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hosoya (89')
Hosoya (51'), Savio (53'), Ominami (55'), Moreira (64'), Koga (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
59.72% ( -0.58)	22.19% ( 0.18)	18.1% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 51.01% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.98% (

-0.15)

47.02% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.73% (

-0.14)

69.26% (

0.14)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65% (

-0.24)

15.35% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.89% (

-0.45)

44.11% (

0.45)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.25% (

0.37)

39.75% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.58% (

0.34)

76.42% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 59.71%

Kashiwa Reysol 18.1%

Draw 22.18%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.71%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.18%	0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.1%