J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Cerezo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Urawa
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Friday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Cerezo Osaka
Despite both sides tasting defeat last week, they have both had solid records in recent weeks, so we can see this one being a closely-fought contest. The two sides have scored and conceded a similar amount of goals so far this campaign, suggesting that there is not a lot to split the teams. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
34.25% ( -0.02) | 26.55% ( 0) | 39.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
