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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 6am UK
Sapporo Dome

Consadole
1 - 4
Cerezo

Arano (45')
Asano (73')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ceara (2'), Kato (17'), Kida (38'), Kagawa (76')
Funaki (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Consadole Sapporo 2-1 Cerezo Osaka

Consadole Sapporo have won three of their last four meetings with Cerezo Osaka, and with home advantage in their favour, we think that the hosts will claim another victory in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
45.21% (0.271 0.27) 25.09% (0.192 0.19) 29.7% (-0.459 -0.46)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.896 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (-1.051 -1.05)48.01% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (-0.972 -0.97)70.18% (0.977 0.98)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)21.26% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-0.49 -0.49)54.18% (0.494 0.49)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.851 -0.85)29.9% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-1.041 -1.04)66% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 45.21%
    Cerezo Osaka 29.7%
    Draw 25.09%
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.332 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.7%

How you voted: Consadole vs Cerezo

Consadole Sapporo
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Cerezo Osaka
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Cerezo
2-3
Consadole
Ceara (14' pen., 61')
Kaneko (6', 15'), Tanaka (64')
Sep 2, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Consadole
2-1
Cerezo
Gun-hee (86'), Aoki (90+4')
Nakahara (78')
Mar 19, 2022 7am
Gameweek 5
Cerezo
2-2
Consadole
Yamada (25'), Mendes (62')
Okamura (30'), Kaneko (76')
Sep 11, 2021 10am
Gameweek 28
Cerezo
0-2
Consadole

Inui (41')
Douglas (73'), Aoki (75')
Suga (56'), Fernandes (82')
Sep 8, 2021 11am
Gameweek 19
Consadole
0-3
Cerezo
Fujita (45+1'), Matsuda (51'), Okubo (88')
Tiago (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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