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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 10, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
1 - 1
Consadole

Nakamura (52' og.)
Moriya (15'), Kawata (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nakamura (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Consadole Sapporo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 3 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 4-5 Consadole
Saturday, June 3 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Consadole Sapporo

Both teams come into this game in good form which should make for a close encounter, but considering the attacking qualities of Consadole Sapporo, they should just edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawConsadole Sapporo
38.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.23%37.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6% (0.0049999999999955 0)64.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94%55.06%
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)56.02% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 38.51%
    Consadole Sapporo 37.25%
    Draw 24.22%
Sagan TosuDrawConsadole Sapporo
2-1 @ 8.48%
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 3.21%
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.51%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.25%

How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs Consadole

Sagan Tosu
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Consadole Sapporo
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 6am
gameweek 26
Consadole
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Seok-Ho (63'), Diego (69')
Apr 6, 2022 11am
gameweek 7
Sagan Tosu
5-0
Consadole
Honda (10'), Kakita (61', 64'), Nakano (74'), Fujita (87')
Diego (18')
Nov 20, 2021 5am
gameweek 36
Sagan Tosu
1-0
Consadole

Koizumi (90+4')

Arano (76')
May 26, 2021 11am
Nov 14, 2020 5am
gameweek 27
Consadole
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Bothroyd (63')
Nakano (77')
Alves (56')
Morishita (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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