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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 10, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Vissel Kobe

Croux (50'), Kitano (90+3')
Kagawa (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yamaguchi (51')
Sakai (28'), Thuler (71'), Patric (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Vissel Kobe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe are yet to lose on the road this season, but after drawing their last two away matches, we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
33.07% (2.612 2.61) 27.88% (0.387 0.39) 39.05% (-2.998 -3)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)58.06% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26% (-0.607 -0.61)78.74% (0.60900000000001 0.61)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (1.459 1.46)32.7% (-1.458 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (1.597 1.6)69.25% (-1.596 -1.6)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-2.032 -2.03)28.92% (2.035 2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-2.595 -2.6)64.8% (2.596 2.6)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 33.06%
    Vissel Kobe 39.05%
    Draw 27.88%
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.704 0.7)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.61 0.61)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.304 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.273 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 11.73% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.376 -0.38)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.646 -0.65)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Vissel Kobe

Cerezo Osaka
13.3%
Draw
20.0%
Vissel Kobe
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 11am
gameweek 24
Cerezo
3-0
Vissel Kobe
Taggart (22'), Suzuki (31'), Kato (87')

Yamakawa (68')
Apr 10, 2022 6am
Jul 17, 2021 11am
gameweek 20
Cerezo
1-1
Vissel Kobe
Toriumi (89')
Furuhashi (30')
May 15, 2021 8am
gameweek 14
Vissel Kobe
1-1
Cerezo
Vermaelen (90+6')
Sakamoto (75')
Sep 16, 2020 11am
gameweek 15
Vissel Kobe
0-1
Cerezo

Dankler (81')
Kakitani (63')
Tokura (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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