MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 01:20:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 30, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukian (22')
Mae (54'), Wellington (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 1-4 Cerezo
Saturday, June 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka

The fact that Avispa Fukuoka have failed to win a single match on the road this season is not something that sets them in good stead heading into this one, which is why Cerezo Osaka will be confident of securing three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
49.38% (0.45 0.45) 27.97% (-0.198 -0.2) 22.65% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 41.46% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.99% (0.412 0.41)63.01% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (0.298 0.3)82.47% (-0.303 -0.3)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (0.40700000000001 0.41)25.82% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (0.551 0.55)60.78% (-0.556 -0.56)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)80.21% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 49.38%
    Avispa Fukuoka 22.65%
    Draw 27.96%
Cerezo OsakaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 15.42% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Avispa Fukuoka

Cerezo Osaka
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Avispa Fukuoka
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 6am
Gameweek 2
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Cerezo
Mae (47'), Kanamori (88')
Uejo (59')
Jul 30, 2022 11am
Gameweek 23
Cerezo
2-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Jonjic (5'), Uejo (71')
Toriumi (75')

Nara (56'), Kumamoto (67'), Maejima (79')
Apr 17, 2022 9am
Gameweek 9
Avispa Fukuoka
0-0
Cerezo
Miya (84')
Kim (84')
Aug 15, 2021 11am
Gameweek 24
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Cerezo
Yamagishi (39'), Croux (90+6')
Nara (79')
Taggart (45+1')
Apr 10, 2021 7am
Gameweek 9
Cerezo
2-2
Avispa Fukuoka
Nara (58'), Manuel Delgado Lloria (90+3')
Shichi (14')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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