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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 3
Vissel Kobe


Yamagishi (50'), Nara (73'), Maejima (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osako (22'), Muto (60', 87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Vissel Kobe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 11 at 8am in J1 League

We said: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Vissel Kobe

Avispa Fukuoka have a very impressive record at home, but they are now winless in their last three matches at the Best Denki Stadium, with their form taking a considerable downward turn. As such, we expect Vissel Kobe to emerge as narrow victors, keeping themselves in the hunt for the J1 League title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 42.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 28.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawVissel Kobe
28.37% (-0.631 -0.63) 28.69% (0.161 0.16) 42.94% (0.473 0.47)
Both teams to score 43.9% (-0.738 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.84% (-0.76499999999999 -0.76)62.16% (0.768 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15% (-0.566 -0.57)81.85% (0.568 0.57)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.59% (-0.935 -0.94)38.41% (0.938 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.906 -0.91)75.17% (0.91 0.91)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)28.72% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.139 -0.14)64.56% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 28.37%
    Vissel Kobe 42.93%
    Draw 28.68%
Avispa FukuokaDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 28.37%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 11.03% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.68%
0-1 @ 13.76% (0.35 0.35)
0-2 @ 8.59% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 42.93%

How you voted: Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe

Avispa Fukuoka
0.0%
Draw
8.3%
Vissel Kobe
91.7%
12
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 5am
Oct 1, 2022 6am
Feb 26, 2022 7am
Oct 16, 2021 8am
Jun 19, 2021 5am
Gameweek 18
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Vissel Kobe
Yamagishi (19')
Nara (38'), Grolli (67')
Furuhashi (2'), Iniesta (80' pen.)
Kikuchi (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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