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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 8am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Mateus (45' pen.), Junker (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sato (65' pen.)
Mae (19'), Maejima (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, June 3 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka

Nagoya Grampus will be considered the favourites heading into this match due to their league positions and considering the recent form and the struggles Avispa Fukuoka have displayed on the road, it should lead to the hosts taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
50.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.36% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 21.49% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.39% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)65% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.11% (-0.061 -0.06)83.89% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)26.37% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)61.52% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.5% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)46.49% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.9% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)82.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 50.15%
    Avispa Fukuoka 21.49%
    Draw 28.35%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 16.34% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 50.15%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 12.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka

Nagoya Grampus
100%
Draw
0.0%
Avispa Fukuoka
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 11am
gameweek 28
Avispa Fukuoka
2-3
Nagoya Grampus
Croux (21'), Hiratsuka (57')
Nara (90+1')
Miya (67')
Morishita (2'), Nagai (24', 38')
May 25, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 15
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Nakatani (15')
Tiago (43')

Lukian (25'), Mae (28'), Yanagi (67')
Aug 22, 2021 10am
gameweek 25
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Swierczok (49')
Naruse (34')

Salomonsson (64'), Grolli (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4am
gameweek 1
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Kanamori (82')
Mateus (4', 55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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