J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 11am UK
Avispa Fukuoka2 - 3Nagoya Grampus
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 34.65%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
34.28% ( -1.06) | 31.08% ( -0.81) | 34.65% ( 1.87) |
| Both teams to score 39.4% ( 1.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.68% ( 2.25) | 68.32% ( -2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.86% ( 1.46) | 86.14% ( -1.45) |
| Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( 0.54) | 37.36% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.85% ( 0.53) | 74.15% ( -0.52) |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( 2.65) | 37.1% ( -2.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.11% ( 2.54) | 73.89% ( -2.54) |
| Score Analysis |
Avispa Fukuoka 34.27%
Nagoya Grampus 34.64%
Draw 31.07%
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.97) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.37)2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.78% Total : 34.27% | 0-0 @ 13.86% ( -1.2) 1-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.07% | 0-1 @ 13.74% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.41)1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.49)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.82% Total : 34.64% |
Head to Head
May 25, 2022 11.30am
Aug 22, 2021 10am
Feb 28, 2021 4am
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Kanamori (82')
Grolli (7'), Shigehiro (48'), Shichi (90+1')
Grolli (7'), Shigehiro (48'), Shichi (90+1')
Form Guide
