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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2023 at 11am UK
Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Inagaki (67')
Izumi (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dawhan (33'), Alano (39'), Ishige (56'), Usami (78'), Fukuoka (87'), Kurokawa (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
53.56% (3.645 3.65) 25.67% (-2.014 -2.01) 20.77% (-1.635 -1.64)
Both teams to score 45.11% (3.209 3.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.92% (5.216 5.22)57.08% (-5.22 -5.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.04% (3.994 3.99)77.96% (-3.998 -4)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (3.864 3.86)21.38% (-3.866 -3.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (5.633 5.63)54.36% (-5.636 -5.64)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (1.326 1.33)42.62% (-1.329 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (1.11 1.11)78.97% (-1.113 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 53.55%
    Gamba Osaka 20.77%
    Draw 25.66%
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 14.05% (-1.22 -1.22)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.605 0.6)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.753 0.75)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.79 0.79)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.491 0.49)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.398 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.47 0.47)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.55%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.57 -0.57)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-1.979 -1.98)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.39 0.39)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.77% (-1.351 -1.35)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.436 -0.44)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 20.77%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka

Nagoya Grampus
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Gamba Osaka
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 10am
gameweek 27
Nagoya Grampus
0-2
Gamba Osaka
Patric (3'), Suzuki (87')
Meshino (27')
Apr 2, 2022 6am
gameweek 6
Gamba Osaka
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Patric (26'), Miyahara (54' og.), Kurokawa (62')
Sento (83')
Nov 20, 2021 5am
gameweek 36
Gamba Osaka
1-3
Nagoya Grampus
Patric (53')
Kurata (30'), Yanagisawa (54'), Patric (85')
Swierczok (8', 29'), Kakitani (22')
Apr 22, 2021 11.30am
gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
2-0
Gamba Osaka
Yamasaki (29'), Soma (55')
Yamasaki (14')

Shoji (62'), Usami (88')
Mar 6, 2021 7am
gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Soma (82')
Naruse (58')

Kaneko (18')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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