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J1 League | Gameweek 22
Aug 5, 2023 at 11am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Morishita (14')
Yonemoto (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tagami (37'), Ota (75'), Ko (85')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 15 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAlbirex Niigata
42.36% (2.872 2.87) 26.82% (-0.553 -0.55) 30.82% (-2.319 -2.32)
Both teams to score 50.28% (0.921 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (1.52 1.52)54.63% (-1.52 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (1.247 1.25)75.96% (-1.248 -1.25)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (2.252 2.25)25.5% (-2.254 -2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (2.981 2.98)60.35% (-2.982 -2.98)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.83099999999999 -0.83)32.5% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.945 -0.95)69.03% (0.94300000000001 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 42.36%
    Albirex Niigata 30.82%
    Draw 26.81%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.394 0.39)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.517 0.52)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.414 0.41)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.439 0.44)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.187 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.216 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.216 0.22)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.502 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.785 -0.79)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.576 -0.58)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.82%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 6am
Gameweek 6
Albirex Niigata
1-3
Nagoya Grampus
Ota (35')
Nagai (56'), Junker (80'), Inagaki (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia30177646222458
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima301511455302556
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe30167747281955
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers29147846361049
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka2913973223948
6Tokyo Verdy30111183941-244
7Yokohama F MarinosYokohama29125124944541
8FC Tokyo30118114142-141
9Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus30124143638-240
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa2810994337639
11Albirex Niigata30109114043-339
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo2991193639-338
13Avispa Fukuoka30911102833-538
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki29910104542337
15Kyoto Sanga29107123546-1137
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2989123444-1033
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3088144046-632
18Jubilo Iwata2987143649-1331
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3067173457-2325
20Sagan Tosu3073203860-2224


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