MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:42:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 10am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 2
Yokohama

Nagai (8'), Junker (47')
Izumi (25'), Nagai (49'), Junker (62')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Elber (28'), Chima Fujita (35')
Matsubara (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F Marinos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Yokohama F Marinos

The two title challengers played out a 1-1 draw when they faced off in April's reverse fixture, and we think that the two closely-matched sides could replicate that result in Saturday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawYokohama F Marinos
32.05% (-0.593 -0.59) 25.46% (0.029 0.03) 42.49% (0.566 0.57)
Both teams to score 55.11% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (-0.307 -0.31)48.63% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.26% (-0.278 -0.28)70.74% (0.28 0.28)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)28.62% (0.534 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-0.672 -0.67)64.43% (0.674 0.67)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.14099999999999 0.14)22.79% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.21100000000001 0.21)56.49% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 32.05%
    Yokohama F Marinos 42.49%
    Draw 25.46%
Nagoya GrampusDrawYokohama F Marinos
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.52% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.49%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama

Nagoya Grampus
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Yokohama F Marinos
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 7am
Oct 1, 2022 8am
Gameweek 31
Nagoya Grampus
0-4
Yokohama
Mizunuma (16', 46'), Ceara (90'), Chima Fujita (90+6')
May 7, 2022 7am
Gameweek 12
Yokohama
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Elber (35'), Lopes (86')
Nagato (5')
Nakatani (24')
Fujii (11')
Sep 18, 2021 11am
Gameweek 18
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Yokohama
Nakatani (12'), Swierczok (46')
Mateus (19'), Yonemoto (73')
Sugimoto (72')
Ceara (42'), Koike (52'), Kida (55')
Aug 12, 2021 11am
Gameweek 29
Yokohama
2-0
Nagoya Grampus
Sugimoto (13'), Junior (33' pen.)
Kida (45+1'), Bunmathan (79')
Bunmathan (90+3')

Kakitani (10'), Mateus (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima311611461322959
2Machida Zelvia31178646222459
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe31177750302058
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers30148846361050
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka30131073425949
6Tokyo Verdy31121184141047
7FC Tokyo31128114342144
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus31134143838043
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama30125135150141
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo30101193840-241
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa29109104339439
13Avispa Fukuoka31912102833-539
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga30108123748-1138
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol30810123444-1034
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3188154148-732
18Jubilo Iwata3088143649-1332
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3168173457-2326
20Sagan Tosu3173213862-2424


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