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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 at 10am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 0
Kawasaki

Junker (41'), Izumi (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kawasaki Frontale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 24 at 11.30am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale

After a slip-up away in Tokyo last week, Nagoya will expect to get back to winning ways here and keep up their impressive home unbeaten record in the league. Kawasaki have been tough to beat though, and should put up a good fight in what could be an intriguing encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKawasaki Frontale
31.19% (0.384 0.38) 26.84% (-0.029 -0.03) 41.98% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.4% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.253 0.25)54.55% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.209 0.21)75.9% (-0.208 -0.21)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (0.405 0.41)32.2% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (0.456 0.46)68.68% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)25.67% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)60.57% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 31.19%
    Kawasaki Frontale 41.97%
    Draw 26.83%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.97%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki

Nagoya Grampus
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Kawasaki Frontale
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 7am
Gameweek 8
Kawasaki
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Miyashiro (56')
Sep 14, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 22
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kawasaki
Inagaki (74')
Tachibanada (61')
Mar 12, 2022 8am
Gameweek 4
Kawasaki
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Marcinho (25')
Songkrasin (15')

Morishita (75')
May 4, 2021 7am
Gameweek 12
Kawasaki
3-2
Nagoya Grampus
Jesiel (31'), Yamane (50'), Maruyama (59' og.)
Inagaki (73'), Mateus (83')
Apr 29, 2021 7am
Gameweek 22
Nagoya Grampus
0-4
Kawasaki
Hatate (3'), Damiao (11', 23'), Tono (84')
Hatate (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima311611461322959
2Machida Zelvia31178646222459
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe31177750302058
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers30148846361050
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
8FC Tokyo31128114342144
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama30125135150141
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo30101193840-241
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa29109104339439
13Avispa Fukuoka31912102833-539
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol30810123444-1034
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3188154148-732
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3173213862-2424


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