Neither team heads into this match with much confidence overall, but with both teams in a desperate need of points it is going to be a crucial match that Alibrex Niigata could just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
51.95% ( -0.34)	24.25% ( 0.1)	23.8% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 52.92% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.34% (

-0.18)

48.66% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

-0.17)

70.78% (

0.17)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.29% (

-0.2)

18.71% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.93% (

-0.34)

50.07% (

0.34)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.09% (

0.12)

34.91% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35% (

0.12)

71.65% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 51.95%

Kyoto Sanga 23.8%

Draw 24.25%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.95%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.8%