Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo and Albirex Niigata have struggled for consistency this season and find themselves in the bottom half of the table. The hosts head into the weekend fresh off the back of a morale-boosting cup victory and we fancy them to see off the Albi, who are without an away win since February. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Albirex Niigata
49.17% ( 2.68)	23.51% ( -0.37)	27.33% ( -2.31)

Both teams to score 58.84% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.56% (

0.18)

42.44% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.15% (

0.17)

64.85% (

-0.17)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58% (

1.12)

17.42% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.14% (

1.92)

47.86% (

-1.91)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

-1.52)

28.74% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-1.94)

64.58% (

1.94)

Score Analysis

Consadole Sapporo 49.17%

Albirex Niigata 27.33%

Draw 23.5%

Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Albirex Niigata
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.43) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.88% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.33%