MX23RW : Wednesday, November 13 21:04:28| >> :60:482:482:
Zambia national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2024 at 12pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Zimbabwe national football team

Zambia
2 - 2
Zimbabwe

Sunzu (5'), Chama (24')
Chanda (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Bonne (32'), Musona (45+2')
Zimbabwe win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Zambia and Zimbabwe.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Morocco
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Last Game: Zimbabwe 1-1 Nigeria
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 19.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawZimbabwe
56.96% (0.158 0.16) 23.49% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 19.55% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.51% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.219 0.22)50.31% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (0.196 0.2)72.25% (-0.196 -0.2)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.137 0.14)17.45% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (0.24 0.24)47.91% (-0.239 -0.24)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (0.042000000000002 0.04)40.03% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (0.037000000000003 0.04)76.68% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 56.96%
    Zimbabwe 19.55%
    Draw 23.48%
ZambiaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 12.19% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.48%
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.55%

rhs 2.0
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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