MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 14:29:08| >> :60:813:813:
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2024 at 9.30am UK
Estadio Nueva Condomina
Millwall logo

Murcia
1 - 2
Millwall

Angel Carrillo (80' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (34'), Leahy (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Real Murcia and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Arandina 1-0 Murcia
Wednesday, November 1 at 4.30pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Millwall
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Real Murcia 0-2 Millwall

After facing off against Premier League opposition earlier in the week, Millwall should be fully capable of controlling a contest with Real Murcia on Friday morning. The Pimentoneros are behind the Lions comparatively in their pre-season plans, so we expect a sharper visiting side to secure a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Murcia had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Real Murcia win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Real MurciaDrawMillwall
24.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 48.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.84% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (-0.012 -0.01)79.07% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Real Murcia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.35% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.05% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)24.42% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)58.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Murcia 24.9%
    Millwall 48.04%
    Draw 27.05%
Real MurciaDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 5.89%
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 24.9%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 13.54%
0-2 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 48.04%

How you voted: Murcia vs Millwall

Real Murcia
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
Millwall
64.3%
14
rhs 2.0
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32104227
6Brentford32015416
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8Bournemouth31205415
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10Tottenham HotspurSpurs31116334
11Chelsea31117524
12Fulham31113304
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham310245-13
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd310225-33
15Leicester CityLeicester301235-21
16Crystal Palace301225-31
17Ipswich TownIpswich301227-51
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves301239-61
19Southampton300315-40
20Everton3003210-80


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