Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, July 19 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Nottingham Forest 1-0 Millwall
With rotations aplenty and Millwall players getting used to the unforgiving heat, the circumstances do not give rise to a goal-laden affair on Tuesday, where one strike may settle it. Given the resources at Santo's disposal, that solitary effort should come the way of the Premier League giants, but a goalless affair is not beyond the realm of possibility either. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Millwall |
40.59% ( 0.38) | 28.93% ( 0.09) | 30.47% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.75% ( -0.41) | 62.25% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.08% ( -0.3) | 81.92% ( 0.31) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.02) | 30.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.78% ( 0.02) | 66.22% ( -0.02) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% ( -0.58) | 36.8% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.41% ( -0.59) | 73.58% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.41% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 30.47% |
