Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Siedlce win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Lomza had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Siedlce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Lomza win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.