MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:09:15| >> :60:76:76:
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal Dr. Edmard Lama
Nicaragua national football team

French Guiana
0 - 1
Nicaragua


Lescot (12'), Abelinti (45+2'), Marmot (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Talavera (90+5')
Belli Moldskred (70'), Barrera (70'), Reyes (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between French Guiana and Nicaragua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

French Guiana

All competitions
Last Game: French Guiana 3-0 Bermuda
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Nicaragua

All competitions
Last Game: Belize 0-4 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

We said: French Guiana 1-3 Nicaragua

 Some solid team play from Nicaragua on the back end and in the attacking third has enabled them to achieve consistent results in the Nations League, and we expect that will carry them past French Guiana, who have not shown the same kind of consistency from one match to the next. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a French Guiana win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a French Guiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
French GuianaDrawNicaragua
52.79% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08) 23.43% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 23.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.52% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)45.2% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)67.55% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
French Guiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)17.1% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-0.113 -0.11)47.3% (0.118 0.12)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)33.03% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.62% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    French Guiana 52.79%
    Nicaragua 23.78%
    Draw 23.43%
French GuianaDrawNicaragua
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 23.78%

How you voted: French Guiana vs Nicaragua

French Guiana
30.0%
Draw
0.0%
Nicaragua
70.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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