CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 13, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Arnos Vale Ground

St Vincent & Gr.
1 - 4
French Guiana

Sutherland (29')
Stewart (5'), Alexander (9'), Edwards (62')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Nemouthe (7'), Abelinti (10' pen.), Baal (42'), Haabo (81')
Letard (35'), Kago (68')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Vincent & the Grenadines and French Guiana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 4-3 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 12 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

French Guiana

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: French Guiana 0-2 Belize
Tuesday, September 12 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a French Guiana win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a French Guiana win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 0-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that French Guiana would win this match.

Result
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	Draw	French Guiana
19.34% ( -0.07)	20.86% ( 0.06)	59.8% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.79% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.86% (

-0.38)

39.14% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.53% (

-0.4)

61.47% (

0.4)

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

-0.29)

33.76% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

-0.32)

70.42% (

0.32)

French Guiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25% (

-0.12)

12.75% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.99% (

-0.24)

39.01% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 19.34%

French Guiana 59.8%

Draw 20.86%

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	Draw	French Guiana
2-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.34%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.86%	1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.71% Total : 59.8%