MX23RW : Friday, November 8 06:23:01| >> :60:535:535:
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal Pierre-Aliker
Bermuda national football team

French Guiana
3 - 0
Bermuda

Ajaiso (29'), Baal (49'), Sarrucco (90+4')
Marmot (12'), Charlec (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Todd (89')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between French Guiana and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

French Guiana

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 1-0 French Guiana
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Bermuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 3-1 St Vincent & Gr.
Friday, November 17 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a French Guiana win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a French Guiana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bermuda win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that French Guiana would win this match.

Result
French GuianaDrawBermuda
61.53% (0.316 0.32) 20.16% (-0.1 -0.1) 18.31% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 58.36% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.49% (0.097999999999999 0.1)37.5% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.26% (0.106 0.11)59.73% (-0.11 -0.11)
French Guiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (0.11399999999999 0.11)11.76% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.07% (0.25 0.25)36.93% (-0.254 -0.25)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.175 -0.17)33.86% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.187 -0.19)70.53% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    French Guiana 61.53%
    Bermuda 18.31%
    Draw 20.16%
French GuianaDrawBermuda
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.51% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 61.53%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 5% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 18.31%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2023 9pm
League B
Bermuda
0-0
French Guiana
Lee (41')
Youssou (47'), Pereira Souza (70')
rhs 2.0
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