MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 06:39:54| >> :600:1941668:1941668:
Spain national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Georgia national football team

Spain
3 - 1
Georgia

Le Normand (4'), Torres (55'), Lochoshvili (72' og.)
Rodri (56'), Martinez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kvaratskhelia (10')
Kvaratskhelia (75'), Sagnol (75'), Kashia (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Spain and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group A clash with Cyprus.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Cyprus 1-3 Spain
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain71818
2Scotland7916
3Norway7210
4Georgia7-48
5Cyprus8-250
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 2-2 Scotland
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain71818
2Scotland7916
3Norway7210
4Georgia7-48
5Cyprus8-250

We said: Spain 3-1 Georgia

Injuries may be rearing their ugly heads for De la Fuente's side, but the abundance of talent in the Roja reserves means that Georgia's sojourn to Valladolid should not be worthwhile one for Sagnol's team. Finding the back of the net is never an issue for the Crusaders, but they have flattered to deceive on the road, and Spain ought to seal a first-placed finish in the group in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 75.6%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 9.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Georgia win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Spain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Spain.

Result
SpainDrawGeorgia
75.6% (-0.261 -0.26) 14.96% (0.121 0.12) 9.44% (0.1429 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.59% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.26% (-0.13 -0.13)33.74% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.43% (-0.15 -0.15)55.57% (0.153 0.15)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.55% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)7.45% (0.0839 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.21% (-0.215 -0.22)26.79% (0.219 0.22)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.74% (0.194 0.19)44.25% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67% (0.16 0.16)80.33% (-0.157 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Spain 75.59%
    Georgia 9.44%
    Draw 14.96%
SpainDrawGeorgia
2-0 @ 11.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.62% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.25% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 5.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.25% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.08%
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 75.59%
1-1 @ 6.98% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.69% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 14.96%
1-2 @ 2.85% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.69% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 9.44%

How you voted: Spain vs Georgia

Spain
85.3%
Draw
5.9%
Georgia
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Georgia
1-7
Spain
Chakvetadze (49')
Aburjania (45+2'), Kashia (50'), Kiteishvili (60'), Chakvetadze (63'), Kvaratskhelia (82')
Morata (22', 40', 66'), Kverkvelia (27' og.), Olmo (38'), Williams (68'), Yamal (74')
Gavi (45+1'), Zubimendi (79')
Sep 5, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Spain
4-0
Georgia
Gaya (14'), Soler (25'), Torres (41'), Sarabia (63')

Kashia (68'), Chabradze (82')
Mar 28, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Georgia
1-2
Spain
Kvaratskhelia (44')
Zivzivadze (19')
Shengelia (90+4')
Torres (56'), Olmo (90+2')
Llorente (7'), Porro (14')
Jun 7, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Spain
0-1
Georgia

Jose (82')
Oct 15, 2013 8pm
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