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[monks data]
Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Nov 14, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
Atletico Mineiro

Corinthians
1 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Davo (6')
Roni (33'), Davo (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arana (61'), Marrony (83')
Keno (31'), Leandro Bagy (42'), Jair (68'), Vargas (88'), Rever (90+5')

Preview: Corinthians vs. Atletico Mineiro - prediction, team news, form guide

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and form guide.

Corinthians will be looking to return to winning ways in the Brazilian Serie A when they welcome Atletico Mineiro to the Neo Quimica Arena for Saturday's top-flight showdown.

The hosts played out a 1-1 draw with Atletico Goianiense last weekend, whereas Mineiro trounced Flamengo 4-0 to end their winless run.


Match preview

Corinthians manager Vagner Mancini pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Corinthians last finish top of the pile in Brazil back in the 2017 campaign, but the seven-time national champions have not had such a good time of things in recent years.

With 20 games of the season already gone, Vagner Mancini's side are firmly in mid-table obscurity as they lie 11th in the rankings - amassing just six wins since the season began.

Three of those wins have come in Corinthians' last five matches in the Brasileiro, with Mancini leading his side to victories over Athletico Paranense, Vasco and Internacional in the space of a month, but Corinthians could not make it three wins on the bounce as Goianiense took a point from last weekend's encounter.

Timao also saw their Copa do Brasil campaign come to an end earlier in November as they bowed out at the last-16 stage to second-tier side America Mineiro, and Mancini will be desperate to see his side claim all three points against Atletico Mineiro as they bid to return to the Copa Libertadores.

Atletico Mineiro head coach Jorge Sampaoli pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Hoping to stop Corinthians in their tracks is Atletico Mineiro, who managed to arrest their slump and avoid going five games unbeaten with a dominant 4-0 victory over fellow high-flyers Flamengo last weekend.

Keno took his tally to nine goals for the league season in that victory, which has lifted Jorge Sampaoli's men up to second in the table, with their superior goal difference seeing them overtake Flamengo.

Atletico Mineiro also have a game in hand over current leaders Internacional, who sit just one point above Sampaoli's side at this midway point, so a first national title for Atletico Mineiro since 1971 is firmly within their reach should they carry the momentum forward from that win over Flamengo.

However, this weekend's visitors have lost their last three on the bounce away from home and have conceded at least two goals on the road in their last five matches, with Atletico Mineiro's solitary victory in that run coming against Goianiense by four goals to three.

Corinthians took the spoils 1-0 in this match last season, but Atletico Mineiro have already beaten Timao in the current campaign as they scraped a 3-2 victory at home back in August.

Corinthians Brasileiro form: LWLWWD
Corinthians form (all competitions): LWLWDD

Atletico Mineiro Brasileiro form: WDLDLW


Team News

Atletico Mineiro players celebrate scoring against Flamengo in November 2020© Reuters

Corinthians

Out: Danilo Avelar, Ruan Oliveira (both ACL)
Doubtful: Leo Santos (knee)

Atletico Mineiro

Out: None
Doubtful: Diego Tardelli (ankle)


SM words green background

We say: Corinthians 1-1 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro's away form is concerning for Sampaoli as he looks to keep their title charge going, and a crushing victory over Flamengo should give the visitors plenty of confidence before this showdown. Sampaoli's men will go top if they win here and Internacional fail to beat Santos, but Corinthians have performed relatively well in recent weeks and we can see the hosts coming away with something here - ultimately backing a low-scoring draw.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras28175646202656
2Botafogo27175546252156
3FortalezaFortaleza27157536261052
4FlamengoFlamengo26136742321045
5Sao Paulo2713593529644
6Bahia2712693831742
7Cruzeiro2712693427742
8InternacionalInternacional2611963223942
9Atletico Mineiro269983638-236
10Vasco da GamaVasco26105113036-635
11BragantinoBragantino2788113337-432
12JuventudeJuventude2788113137-632
13CriciumaCriciuma2788113441-732
14Gremio2694132934-531
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2587102729-231
16Vitoria2784152939-1028
17Corinthians27610112633-728
18Fluminense2676132129-827
19Cuiaba2658132338-1523
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2746172145-2418


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