World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
New Zealand7 - 1New Caledonia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Oman vs. New Zealand
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: New Zealand 7-1 New Caledonia
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
We said: New Zealand 4-0 New Caledonia
New Caledonia have shown resilience to come close in their first two games, but Thursday presents a far bigger challenge, and we see them being outclassed. Hay's men have far more quality than their opponents and should have enough to finish with a resounding victory Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for New Caledonia had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest New Caledonia win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand | Draw | New Caledonia |
| 53.09% | 22.59% | 24.33% |
| Both teams to score 59.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
