Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 72.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-3 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for an Anguilla win it was 2-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.