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Women's FA Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 16, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
0 - 1
Chelsea Women

FT(HT: 0-0)
Kerr (59')
Musovic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 2 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 2 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 0-2 Chelsea Women

Chelsea will go into the semi-final as the favourites, and after claiming a comfortable victory over Aston Villa before the international break, we think that they will have the confidence and belief required to record another win over the Villans on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 80.97%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
6.47% (0.0801 0.08) 12.56% (-0.064 -0.06) 80.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.93% (0.797 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.9% (0.726 0.73)33.09% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.17% (0.82899999999999 0.83)54.83% (-0.829 -0.83)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.99% (0.776 0.78)51% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.65% (0.517 0.52)85.34% (-0.517 -0.52)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.75% (0.143 0.14)6.25% (-0.1439 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.42% (0.399 0.4)23.57% (-0.4 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 6.47%
    Chelsea Women 80.96%
    Draw 12.56%
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 2.15% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 2% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 6.47%
1-1 @ 5.95% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.78% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 12.56%
0-2 @ 12.25% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 11.32% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 7.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.62% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 5.29% (0.094 0.09)
0-5 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.93% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.082 0.08)
0-6 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.78% (0.071 0.07)
1-6 @ 1.36% (0.046 0.05)
2-5 @ 0.99% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 80.96%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 6.45pm
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Chelsea Women
3-1
Aston Villa
James (22', 47'), Kerr (63')
Daly (38')
Brown (45+1')
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Nov 6, 2021 12.30pm
Mar 28, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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