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Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
1 - 0
Man Utd Women

Kerr (23')
Leupolz (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Brighton Women
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd Women 5-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-1 Manchester United Women

 Although Man United are yet to lose an away league game this season, they are still searching for their first competitive victory over Chelsea. The hosts, meanwhile, have won their last five meetings with the Red Devils, and after winning 10 consecutive home league games, we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory that would move them to the top of the WSL table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester United Women
58.14% (3.973 3.97) 22.56% (-1.402 -1.4) 19.3% (-2.565 -2.57)
Both teams to score 51.95% (0.532 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.16% (2.638 2.64)46.84% (-2.632 -2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (2.42 2.42)69.1% (-2.413 -2.41)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (2.363 2.36)15.81% (-2.357 -2.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (4.185 4.19)44.98% (-4.18 -4.18)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (-1.129 -1.13)38.29% (1.134 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (-1.1 -1.1)75.05% (1.106 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 58.12%
    Manchester United Women 19.3%
    Draw 22.56%
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.473 0.47)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.166 0.17)
3-0 @ 6.33% (0.75 0.75)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.552 0.55)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.539 0.54)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.183 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.8% (0.447 0.45)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.179 0.18)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.265 0.27)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.23 0.23)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 58.12%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.67 -0.67)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.696 -0.7)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.56%
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.872 -0.87)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.498 -0.5)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.519 -0.52)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.3%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Man Utd Women

Chelsea Women
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Manchester United Women
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 6.45pm
Man Utd Women
1-3
Chelsea Women
Russo (71')
Zelem (90')
Kerr (60'), James (64'), Cuthbert (90+2', 90+2')
May 8, 2022 12pm
Chelsea Women
4-2
Man Utd Women
Cuthbert (18'), Kerr (46', 66'), Reiten (51')
Fleming (80')
Thomas (13'), Toone (25')
Ladd (11')
Sep 26, 2021 12.30pm
Man Utd Women
1-6
Chelsea Women
Russo (48')
Kirby (2'), Mosegaard-Harder (24'), Kerr (41', 51'), Spence (87'), Fleming (90+2')
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
Chelsea Women
2-1
Man Utd Women
Mosegaard-Harder (30'), Kirby (65')
Reiten (90+5')
James (61')
Groenen (75')
Sep 6, 2020 2.30pm
Man Utd Women
1-1
Chelsea Women
Galton (79')
Okvist (76'), Zelem (85')
Kerr (25')
rhs 2.0
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