Chelsea Women3 - 1Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
for
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
We said: Chelsea Women 3-0 Aston Villa Women
Aston Villa may have begun the season with consecutive WSL victories, but after losing their last two league games, we think that they will be beaten comfortably by a Chelsea side who have won their last six matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 89.17%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 2.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 4-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.74%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 0-1 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
89.17% ( 0.04) | 7.87% ( -0.03) | 2.96% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.34% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
