Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
