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Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Apr 2, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
0 - 3
Chelsea Women

FT(HT: 0-2)
Cankovic (22'), Reiten (43'), Kerr (56')
Buchanan (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 5-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, March 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-2 Lyon (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-1 Chelsea Women

 Chelsea will head into Sunday's encounter in a buoyant mood, but a number of their players may feel the effects of playing 120 minutes on Thursday. The Blues struggled last weekend after playing in midweek, and we think that a tired Chelsea side may find it tough once again, which is why we believe that Aston Villa will hold the West London club to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 76.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 8.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.97%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
8.73% (0.257 0.26) 14.42% (0.116 0.12) 76.85% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.58% (0.809 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.56% (0.39200000000001 0.39)33.44% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.77% (0.445 0.45)55.23% (-0.448 -0.45)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.46% (0.863 0.86)45.54% (-0.864 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.64% (0.671 0.67)81.36% (-0.672 -0.67)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.87% (0.01100000000001 0.01)7.13% (-0.0131 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.04% (0.030999999999992 0.03)25.95% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 8.73%
    Chelsea Women 76.85%
    Draw 14.42%
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 2.65% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.92% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 8.73%
1-1 @ 6.74% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.101 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 14.42%
0-2 @ 11.32% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-3 @ 9.97% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-3 @ 7.84% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 6.58% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 5.18% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-5 @ 3.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.091 0.09)
1-5 @ 2.73% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.061 0.06)
0-6 @ 1.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-6 @ 1.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.08% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 76.85%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Chelsea Women
3-1
Aston Villa
James (22', 47'), Kerr (63')
Daly (38')
Brown (45+1')
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Chelsea Women
1-0
Aston Villa
Kerr (90+2')
Kerr (90+2')
Nov 6, 2021 12.30pm
Aston Villa
0-1
Chelsea Women

Allen (56')
Fleming (22')
Ingle (28'), Andersson (90+1')
Mar 28, 2021 2.30pm
Chelsea Women
2-0
Aston Villa
Kerr (24', 57')

McLoughlin (75')
Jan 27, 2021 7pm
Aston Villa
0-4
Chelsea Women

Hanssen (45')
Kerr (3'), England (35'), Mosegaard-Harder (68'), Ericsson (70')
Bright (71')
rhs 2.0
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