Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
