Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
