Cerrito

2 - 2

Wanderers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.