Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.