Swiss Super League | Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Lugano2 - 3Luzern
We said: Lugano 2-1 Luzern
Coming off the back of a solid display against Rijeka, Lugano will return to league action with confidence as they look to maintain their perfect start to the campaign. Luzern have struggled for consistency on their travels and we fancy the Bianconeri to pick up all three points this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lugano | Draw | Luzern |
44.2% ( 0.01) | 23.8% ( 0.01) | 31.99% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.85% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( -0.05) | 41.11% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.49% ( -0.06) | 63.51% ( 0.06) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% ( -0.02) | 18.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.66% ( -0.03) | 50.34% ( 0.04) |
Luzern Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( -0.03) | 24.99% ( 0.04) |