MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:33:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Cornaredo Stadium
Basel

Lugano
1 - 0
Basel

Mahou (33')
Sabbatini (24'), Valenzuela (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lang (61'), Amdouni (62')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugano 1-0 Servette
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawBasel
28.43% (0.15 0.15) 24.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 47.5% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.8% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (-0.109 -0.11)44.21% (0.106 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (-0.107 -0.11)66.59% (0.10499999999999 0.1)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.048000000000002 0.05)28.86% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.062000000000005 0.06)64.73% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.126 -0.13)18.75% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (-0.206 -0.21)50.14% (0.204 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 28.43%
    Basel 47.5%
    Draw 24.06%
LuganoDrawBasel
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.73% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 28.43%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.5%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
0-2
Lugano

Xhaka (32')
Babic (90+1'), Mahmoud (90+4')
Arigoni (4'), Daprela (42'), Valenzuela (87'), Saipi (90+2')
May 22, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
2-1
Lugano
Males (6'), Kasami (71')
Ndoye (30'), Pavlovic (34'), Kasami (72')
Kasami (74')
El Amine Amoura (27')
Ruegg (59'), Mahmoud (62')
Mahmoud (90+2')
Mar 6, 2022 1.15pm
Lugano
0-2
Basel

Hajrizi (12'), Lovric (16'), Daprela (72')
Chalov (9'), Males (90+3')
Stocker (33'), Lopez (40'), Chalov (53'), Xhaka (76')
Oct 24, 2021 3.30pm
Basel
2-0
Lugano
Frei (10'), Arthur (32')
Frei (64')
Sep 12, 2021 3.30pm
Lugano
1-1
Basel
Abubakar (59')
Bottani (7'), Maric (41'), Custodio (57'), Daprela (86')
Arthur (29')
Kasami (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Zurich137422114725
2LuganoLugano137422013725
3Servette137332220224
4Basel1371531141722
5Luzern136432418622
6Lausanne SportLausanne136252219320
7St GallenSt Gallen134542318517
8Yverdon Sport134361421-715
9Sion133551416-214
10Young Boys133461622-613
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper132381222-109
12FC WinterthurWinterthur13229931-228


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!