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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı

Kayserispor
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Kocaman (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (6'), Kadioglu (67')
Szalai (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Giresunspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kayserispor 1-2 Fenerbahce

Despite the recent uptick in home results, the broader inspection of the outcome of Kayserispor's games in Kayseri does not inspire much confidence in their ability to end Fener's unbeaten streak. The visitors are unbeaten since their 3-0 thrashing by title rivals Galatasaray and five without defeat is expected to become six without losing on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
23.11% (-0.155 -0.16) 21.62% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 55.27% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.41% (0.074999999999996 0.07)37.59% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.18% (0.081000000000003 0.08)59.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)29.41% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.102 -0.1)65.4% (0.101 0.1)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (0.088000000000008 0.09)13.6% (-0.089 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (0.176 0.18)40.72% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 23.11%
    Fenerbahce 55.27%
    Draw 21.62%
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.11%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.48% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 55.27%

How you voted: Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce

Kayserispor
21.4%
Draw
7.1%
Fenerbahce
71.4%
14
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Kayserispor
Pedro (37'), King (50')
Kadioglu (74'), Szalai (87')

Campanharo (75'), Mensah (82')
Apr 2, 2022 2pm
Kayserispor
0-4
Fenerbahce

Bulut (73')
Zajc (16'), Rossi (45'), Kahveci (54'), Guler (90+3')
Aziz (35'), Osayi-Samuel (56')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
2-2
Kayserispor
Zajc (85'), Ozil (90+9' pen.)
Kolovetsios (39'), Gavranovic (61')
Civelek (90+8')
May 15, 2021 6.30pm
Kayserispor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Henrique (18')
Muhar (44'), Parlak (55'), Behich (88'), Henrique (88')
Parlak (89')
Valencia (90' pen.), Aziz (90+8')
Valencia (7'), Erkin (32')
Jan 25, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
3-0
Kayserispor
Thiam (20'), Samatta (51'), Cisse (86')
Valencia (18'), Pelkas (69')

Korkmaz (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
6BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
10KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor164752422219
13KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
14SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor1642101222-1014
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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