Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Ternana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Modena
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Brescia
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Ternana |
40.29% ( -0.02) | 27.33% ( 0.01) | 32.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
