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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Lecce logo

Spezia
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Lecce

Spezia's collapse against Atalanta would have concerned their manager Gotti, who is likely to be forced into starting an inexperienced youngster in goal due to injuries. As such, we would not be surprised if Lecce extend their winning run to four matches on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawLecce
35.79% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 26.74% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 37.47% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.386 -0.39)53.32% (0.382 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.329 -0.33)74.87% (0.324 0.32)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.155 -0.16)28.56% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (-0.194 -0.19)64.36% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.271 -0.27)27.57% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)63.09% (0.34500000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 35.79%
    Lecce 37.46%
    Draw 26.74%
SpeziaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.14% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.46%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lecce

Spezia
31.5%
Draw
22.2%
Lecce
46.3%
54
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Spezia
0-2
Lecce

Strelec (6'), N'Zola (30'), Nguiamba (79')
Listkowski (43'), Calabresi (55')
Dermaku (17'), Barreca (35'), Rodriguez (49'), Blin (90+2')
May 11, 2019 2pm
Dec 30, 2018 8pm
Spezia
1-1
Lecce
Ricci (13' pen.)
Vignali (41'), Mora (48'), Capradossi (64')
Scavone (68')
Bovo (28'), Petriccione (55'), Palombi (72'), Venuti (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli164751416-219
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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