Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Lecce |
35.85% ( 0.03) | 27.63% ( -0.06) | 36.51% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.92% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.13% ( 0.24) | 56.87% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.21% ( 0.19) | 77.79% ( -0.19) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( 0.14) | 30.26% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.57% ( 0.17) | 66.43% ( -0.17) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% ( 0.14) | 29.86% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.06% ( 0.17) | 65.94% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |