Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Juventus |
21.1% | 22.28% | 56.62% |
Both teams to score 55.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.81% | 43.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.41% | 65.59% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.65% | 34.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% | 71.06% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% | 15.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% | 43.57% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 5.59% 1-0 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 2.95% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.1% Total : 21.1% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-1 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 9.27% 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-3 @ 5.85% 2-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.96% 0-4 @ 2.77% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |