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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona logo

Roma
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Solbakken (45')
Mourinho (34'), Smalling (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hien (28'), Ngonge (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Roma
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Salernitana
Monday, February 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Hellas Verona

 Surely a close-fought tussle is on the cards in Rome, as neither side gives much way at the back these days - and they rarely score more than once themselves. As Roma may be distracted by European commitments, and their star man appears to be unavailable, Verona can nick a point at the Olimpico and boost their survival hopes still further. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
66.99% (-0.637 -0.64) 19.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 13.38% (0.55 0.55)
Both teams to score 48.37% (1.274 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.872 0.87)44.91% (-0.871 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (0.832 0.83)67.26% (-0.831 -0.83)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (0.079000000000008 0.08)12.46% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.58% (0.164 0.16)38.42% (-0.163 -0.16)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.26% (1.408 1.41)44.74% (-1.407 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (1.113 1.11)80.72% (-1.111 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Roma 66.98%
    Hellas Verona 13.38%
    Draw 19.63%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 12.09% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-0 @ 11.61% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.37% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.133 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 66.98%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.63%
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.163 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 13.38%

How you voted: Roma vs Hellas Verona

Roma
78.7%
Draw
14.9%
Hellas Verona
6.4%
94
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 5.30pm
Hellas Verona
1-3
Roma
Dawidowicz (27')
Ceccherini (20')
Zaniolo (45+1'), Volpato (88'), El Shaarawy (90+2')
Feb 19, 2022 5pm
Roma
2-2
Hellas Verona
Volpato (65'), Bove (84')
Pellegrini (38'), Oliveira (39'), Karsdorp (69')
Mourinho (90+1')
Barak (5'), Tameze (20')
Casale (16'), Gunter (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Hellas Verona
3-2
Roma
Barak (49'), Caprari (54'), Faraoni (63')
Faraoni (30'), Barak (51'), Hongla (83'), Casale (86')
Pellegrini (36'), Ilic (58' og.)
Veretout (18'), Cristante (71')
Jan 31, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Hellas Verona
Mancini (20'), Mkhitaryan (22'), Mayoral (29')
Pellegrini (17'), Kumbulla (38')
Colley (62')
Faraoni (23')
Sep 19, 2020 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
3-0
Roma

Danzi (9'), Di Carmine (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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