Salzburg

1 - 0

Roma

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.