Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Crotone |
64.45% | 19.59% | 15.95% |
Both teams to score 55.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.81% | 39.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.48% | 61.52% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.52% | 11.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.68% | 36.31% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% | 37.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.62% | 74.38% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Crotone |
2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-0 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.45% | 1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.84% 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 4.47% 0-1 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Bologna | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 37 |
7 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
8 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Udinese | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 29 |
11 | Torino | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 23 |
14 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 23 |
15 | Como | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 |
16 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |