Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 33.7%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 32.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.73%) and 1-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (14.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (16.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood.
